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Comparing Delphi types

A Delphi Studio study makes two separate choices. The workflow, chosen on New study, says what happens and in what order. The method framework, chosen on Setup's Method step, says which approach and decision rules govern the rounds. The two combine freely: a Modified Delphi can generate its items first or rate items you already have.

Should you use Delphi?​

Choose a Delphi design when structured judgment is needed because evidence is incomplete, inconsistent, or difficult to apply—for example, to prioritize outcomes, refine definitions, or develop recommendations with relevant stakeholders.

Choose another method when the main objective is:

  • a representative estimate of population opinion;
  • an empirical question that adequate data can answer directly;
  • real-time negotiation or joint problem-solving; or
  • endorsement of a conclusion already selected by the research team.

The defensible design page provides a fuller fit assessment and protocol checklist.

Workflows on New study​

WorkflowWhat happensSuits
Rate existing itemsPanelists rate statements you already have across successive rounds, with group feedback between roundsGuidelines, competencies, indicators
Generate items, then rateRound 1 asks panelists to propose candidate items; the team consolidates them, and later rounds rate the listOpen topics without a starting item set
Define and refine, then ratePanelists first agree on definitions, terminology or a framework's structure; the resulting items are then ratedTaxonomy development and framework validation
Build a custom workflowOne rating round to start; you add rounds, a questionnaire and rulesDesigns the others do not cover

The Suits column is a guide to fit. It is not the wording on the New study screen. The four workflow names are. A study can also start from a template, a past study or an imported template file. People and responses are never copied. See New study.

Method frameworks​

Modified DelphiClassical DelphiRAND/UCLA AppropriatenessCustom method
Question typeDo experts agree?Do experts agree, on items they proposed?Is this scenario appropriate?You define
How statements are classifiedPercentage of ratings in a zone, with a spread limitSame as ModifiedPanel median's zone, with a disagreement testYou set the rules
Suggested scaleLikert 1–5Likert 1–51–9You choose
Usual workflowAnyGenerate items, then rateAnyAny

Modified Delphi carries a Recommended badge on the Method screen. That badge is not a scientific requirement. A new study stores no framework until someone chooses one.

The table suggests Likert 1–5 for Modified Delphi and Classical Delphi, and 1–9 for RAND/UCLA. Choosing a framework does not switch the scale. It records only which framework was chosen. A new study starts on a 1–9 scale unless the workspace default or the creator's own starting values say otherwise. The scale and the rules are set on Rating & consensus. A suggested scale is not the method's definition. If the study departs from that suggestion, say so in the Methods text. Choosing the framework does not write that sentence. See Study design and Thresholds.

Decision flowchart​

The diagram states the same fit as the tables above. It does not choose a median boundary, a panel-size table, or whether a study that omits a discussion may use the RAND/UCLA name.

Scale options​

Rating & consensus offers these scales under every framework, within the scales your organization allows:

ScaleUse when
1–9 scaleThe built-in default; RAND/UCLA appropriateness; importance ratings
Likert 1–5Standard agreement
Likert 1–7Finer agreement steps
0–10 scaleNumeric rating from zero
CustomYour own range and zones

Each scale has disagree, uncertain and agree zones that the rules count. A new study starts with neutral anchors, which do not name the decision a zone feeds. A study can save other wording. Decision words are warned about, not refused. The figures a panelist sees still do not include that decision. Setup can name up to five dimensions, such as importance and feasibility, and mark one primary. The stored answer is one rating. The primary dimension is the one the consensus rule uses.

Rules and stopping​

The screen label is Modified Delphi: percentage and spread. A new study starts from these values: retain at 70 percent or more in the agree zone, exclude at 70 percent or more in the disagree zone, an interquartile-range ceiling of 2, and at least 7 responses before a statement is classified. Choosing Likert 1–5 or Likert 1–7 sets that ceiling to 1. These are starting values, not a universal rule. On a 1–9 scale the spread may use the disagreement index instead of the interquartile range. That index is the modified-Delphi spread option. It is not the RAND/UCLA disagreement test. See Consensus analytics.

Under RAND/UCLA, on the default zones, a statement is Appropriate when the median is 7 to 9 and Inappropriate when it is 1 to 3, in both cases without disagreement, and Uncertain otherwise. That is this product's integer rule. See RAND/UCLA.

The number of rounds is planned on Round design. Stopping is advice, not a rule the software uses to end the study. A study can record advice to stop once a stated share of statements (90% by default) is settled. Settled means retained or excluded. Under RAND/UCLA those results are labeled Appropriate and Inappropriate. The research team decides whether to continue. After the last planned round, the principal investigator can add one further rating round as a recorded amendment.

Anonymity​

Panelists never see each other's identities or individual ratings. Staff screens show pseudonymous codes. People being recruited can be shown by name on the recruiting screens. Revealing an enrolled person's name takes a written reason and is audited. A coordinator can only request a reveal; a principal investigator or an administrator approves it. See Identity and pseudonyms.

Choosing Custom method​

Choose Custom method when the presets do not fit, for example:

  • policy or other designs the presets do not cover;
  • a scale with zones of your own; or
  • decision rules your protocol defines differently.

Real-time negotiation is a reason to choose a method other than Delphi, not a mode this application runs.

Custom method suggests no scale or rules. Rating & consensus keeps the values the study already has, which start from the workspace defaults and any starting values the creator set, until you change them. You write the Methods text yourself. Method and Rating & consensus each need their own confirmation before launch. A material change on one of those screens withdraws that screen's confirmation. A change to stability settings or to stopping advice does not withdraw the rating confirmation.

Hybrid studies​

A study has one consensus method and one primary dimension. Teams that need agreement on indicator importance and appropriateness ratings on clinical scenarios usually run them as separate studies or sequential phases.